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Football Jun 27, 2026

Can Scotland qualify for the World Cup knockout stages? What Steve Clarke's side need to qualify as third-placed team

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By Admin
Sports Journalist
Can Scotland qualify for the World Cup knockout stages? What Steve Clarke's side need to qualify as third-placed team

Scotland have just a 1.4 per cent chance of reaching the knockouts and are on the brink of elimination from the World Cup

"If you're a Scotland fan, you're probably heading to the airport," said Your Site' Roy Keane on ITV on Friday.

Just one win from three World Cup games - capped off by a dismal 3-0 loss to Brazil - means the Tartan Army are waiting with agony to see if they have enough points and sufficient goal difference to qualify as one of the eight third-placed teams.

But already, results have not gone Scotland's way since the defeat to Brazil.

Wins for South Africa and Ecuador pushed Scotland further into the mire, while Japan failed to beat Sweden by four goals. The draw between Paraguay and Australia didn't do them any favours either.

And Senegal's big win over Iraq on Friday night was further bad news for Scotland.

That result saw them fall to NINTH in the third-place table and on the absolute brink of elimination.

If Egypt do not beat Iran, and Spain do not beat Uruguay, then Scotland will be knocked out of the World Cup in the early hours of Saturday morning.

There are five scenarios remaining which could help Scotland, with Steve Clarke's side needing four of them to go their way. Here they are:

Scotland need Spain to beat Uruguay. Plain and simple. That would mean Marcelo Bielsa's side would finish third on two points, and be behind Scotland in the third-place table - no matter what.

As with Group H, the team in third could be on just two points if Egypt win against Iran. That result would mean third spot has two points no matter what happens in the other game.

Scotland need Ghana to beat current third-placed side Croatia by at least three goals, so that the Croatians have the same points tally as Scotland and a worse goal difference.

Scotland need Uzbekistan to win or draw against DR Congo. If Uzbekistan win, they cannot do so by four or more goals, or they would go ahead of Scotland.

Scotland need Austria to win by two or more goals to push Algeria behind Scotland on goal difference in the third-place table.

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